Forecast Discussion


000
FXUS64 KMEG 142014
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
314 PM CDT Wed Apr 14 2021

.DISCUSSION...

Rain has nearly all dissipated or moved out of the Midsouth
although a few sprinkles remain on radar in far northeast
Mississippi. Rain should end well before sunset. Temperatures are
mostly in the 60s across the area and probably will not get much
warmer this afternoon. Overnight lows should fall into the mid 40s
across most of the area. One cold front has passed through the
Midsouth with another reenforcing cold front moving into northern
portions of the Midsouth. As this front moves across the area
overnight and a weak positively tilted shortwave approaches the
area a few additional showers may develop after midnight.
Thunderstorms do not look likely.

Tomorrow should be dry as a transient ridge shifts out of the
Plains and over the Mississippi River valley. The ridge will
deamplify and shift east of the Mississippi River midday Friday.
Showers will return to the Midsouth late Friday with the highest
rain chances Friday night. Widespread thunderstorms are not
expected and certainly nothing severe. Clouds will likely linger
Saturday, but dry conditions are expected. More sun is expected
Sunday. Guidance is not in good agreement early into the middle of
next week. We will feature a mostly dry forecast with a slightly
higher chance of rain returning midweek.

Temperatures tomorrow through the weekend should remain mild
featuring highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s. We may see a few
low 70s return early next week.


&&

.AVIATION...18Z TAFs

Light rain will continue at TUP over the next couple of hours,
while all other sites will remain dry. A MVFR deck has begun to
build into MEM and may also affect MKL, JBR, and TUP in the short
term. MVFR CIGs are expected to lift to VFR around sundown, except
for TUP, where CIGs may fall to IFR for a few hours.

Expect northeast winds 6-10 kts through the period.

AC3

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$