Forecast Discussion

FXUS64 KMEG 021125

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
625 AM CDT Sun Oct 2 2022

...New AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...(Today through Saturday) Issued at 230 AM CDT Sun
Oct 2 2022

A ridge over the Plains will slowly shift to the east over the
next several days, becoming centered over the Mississippi River
Valley early Wednesday, then along the East Coast early Thursday.
As a result, we are still looking at a dry forecast for the next
week or longer with no drastic temperature changes. It will be a
bit warm for early October Wednesday and Thursday as high
temperatures climb into the middle 80s across much of the area.
Otherwise, expect high temperatures today through the upcoming
work week to be in the mid 70s to low 80s. Low temperatures should
be in the mid 40s to low 50s this week, maybe a bit cooler next

Northwest flow will return to the Midsouth after midweek, but
moisture levels will remain low.  Low relative humidity, dry
fuels, and occasionally gusty northeast winds will contribute to
elevated fire danger today and through much of this week.
Relative humidity is forecast to fall to near 30 percent or lower
each afternoon with northeast winds up to 10 mph with higher
gusts. No rain is expected across the Mid-South this week. Burn
bans are in effect for Clay County Arkansas and Tallahatchie and
Tate Counties in Mississippi. Caution should be used in any
outdoor burning. Contact your local government or fire control
officials for information regarding any burn restrictions.



(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 604 AM CDT Sun Oct 2 2022

VFR conditions will continue for the entire forecast period. Winds
will be mainly from the northeast at around 5 knots this morning
increasing to around 10 knots with higher gusts during the
afternoon. Winds will diminish back to around 5 knots this