Forecast Discussion

000
FXUS64 KMEG 281513
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1013 AM CDT Sun May 28 2023

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1006 AM CDT Sun May 28 2023

Skies are sunny across the Mid-South this morning with
temperatures in the upper 60s to mid 70s. A nice afternoon is in
store for much of the region with sunny skies and temperatures
warming into the mid 70s to lower 80s. A few showers and
thunderstorms could develop this afternoon mainly over southeast
sections of the Mid-South. Will update forecast to remove morning
wording.


ARS

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 155 AM CDT Sun May 28 2023

Today through Tuesday should remain relatively quiet with mostly
sunny skies. Rain chances return to the forecast Wednesday and
continue each afternoon into the weekend. Temperatures will
gradually warm over the next few days with highs approaching 90
degrees by Wednesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 155 AM CDT Sun May 28 2023

Isolated showers have finally dissipated across the area with
clearing skies. An upper-level low currently over the Mid-South
will move eastward this morning and eventually be absorbed this
afternoon into a broad upper-level closed low over Georgia. With
that being said, today should remain relatively quiet with
temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s.

Memorial Day looks great for any outdoor activities. With the
previously mentioned upper low moving off to the east we`ll be
able to warm into the 80s. We should remain dry with showers well
to our east.

The remainder of the week brings no notable weather. As a broad
upper-level Omega Block continues to build across the US through
the end of the work week, afternoon scattered showers and
thunderstorms will be possible Tuesday through Friday. By the
weekend there seems to be a better chance for widespread rain as a
weak Gulf low moves into Mississippi and Alabama. Expect a
warming trend to start Tuesday, with highs ranging from the low
80s just east of the Mississippi River and upper 80s along and
west of the Mississippi River. Lows Wednesday and Thursday nights
will be well established in the 60s and highs Thursday and Friday
will reach into the mid to upper 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 637 AM CDT Sun May 28 2023

Patchy fog will quickly lift this morning giving way to VFR conds.
Drier air will work into the region as the upper low meanders east
today. Winds will be N/NE at 7-8 kts today diminishing to calm or
light/variable this evening.

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...Flash Flood Watch through Saturday afternoon for MSZ001-007-008-
     011-012-020.

TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...SWB
AVIATION...SJM