Forecast Discussion

FXUS64 KMEG 280415

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
1115 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024

...New AVIATION...

Issued at 959 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024

Clear skies and light winds prevail across the Mid-South as weak
high pressure builds into the area. Some patchy fog is possible
overnight otherwise no major weather issues tonight. Lows in the
60s are expected by morning.


Issued at 224 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024

A period of drier weather is expected for the upcoming work week.
A few showers and thunderstorms are expected Wednesday, mainly in
north Mississippi and east Arkansas, but much more widespread
storms return next weekend. Cooler temperatures are expected
Wednesday featuring highs around 80 degrees. Temperatures will
trend warmer Thursday into the weekend.


(This evening through next Sunday)
Issued at 224 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024

Surface high pressure has built in across the Midsouth resulting
in abundant sunshine. High temperatures have climbed into the
middle 80s across much of the area sparking isolated thunderstorms
across west Tennessee and north Mississippi. Warm temperatures
are expected again Tomorrow with cooler conditions midweek.
Tuesday high temperatures are expected to be in the middle 80s to
around 90 degrees.

A low amplitude long wave trough will shift across the Upper and
Middle Mississippi River Valley late tomorrow into Wednesday
along with a cold front. A shortwave will track from southeast
Oklahoma into south Mississippi possibly helping to initiate a few
showers and thunderstorms, mainly in east Arkansas and north
Mississippi Wednesday. High temperatures Wednesday are expected to
be around 80 degrees. A narrow, high amplitude ridge will quickly
shift across the Mississippi River Valley Friday followed by
negatively tilted trough on Saturday. This feature will likely
result in a wet weekend across the Midsouth.

Temperatures will trend warmer Thursday into the weekend with
highs back in the mid 80s by Sunday.



(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1112 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024

VFR conditions through the period as high pressure continues to
build over the Mid-South. Fog may possibly develop over MKL,
though confidence was not high enough to include in TAF. Low-
level mixing and a slight tightening of the pressure gradient
tomorrow afternoon will result in northwest winds up to 10 kts
with a few possible gusts up to 20 kts across all terminals.