Tropical Weather
Atlantic/Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
428 ABNT20 KNHC 110533 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sat Jul 11 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently downgraded Tropical Depression Fay, located inland over southeastern New York. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next five days. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Summary for Tropical Depression Fay (AT1/AL062020)
...FAY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK... As of 2:00 AM EDT Sat Jul 11 the center of Fay was located near 41.5, -74.0 with movement N at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1001 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Tropical Depression Fay Public Advisory Number 7A
Issued at 200 AM EDT Sat Jul 11 2020 121 WTNT31 KNHC 110532 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fay Intermediate Advisory Number 7A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062020 200 AM EDT Sat Jul 11 2020 ...FAY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK... SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...41.5N 74.0W ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM N OF NEW YORK CITY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Tropical Storm Warning from East Rockaway New York to Watch Hill Rhode Island including most of Long Island and Long Island Sound has been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fay was located near latitude 41.5 North, longitude 74.0 West. Fay is moving toward the north near 17 mph (28 km/h). A northward to north-northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected today and tonight. On the forecast track, the center of Fay will move across portions of eastern New York this morning, then across western New England into southeastern Canada later today and tonight. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is expected today, and the system is expected to become a post-tropical low later this morning and dissipate on Sunday. The estimated minimum central pressure from surface observations is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL: Fay is expected to produce 1 to 3 inches of rain with isolated maxima of 4 inches along and near its track from eastern Pennsylvania, northern New Jersey across southeast New York, and portions of New England. This rain may result in flash flooding and urban flooding in areas with poor drainage where the heaviest amounts occur. Widespread river flooding is not expected at this time; however, rapid rises on small streams and isolated minor flooding is possible. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tropical Depression Fay Forecast Advisory Number 7
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT JUL 11 2020 000 WTNT21 KNHC 110231 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062020 0300 UTC SAT JUL 11 2020 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED SOUTH AND WEST OF EAST ROCKAWAY...NEW YORK. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * EAST ROCKAWAY NEW YORK TO WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND INCLUDING MOST OF LONG ISLAND AND LONG ISLAND SOUND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.0N 74.2W AT 11/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 180SE 0SW 70NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.0N 74.2W AT 11/0300Z...INLAND AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.2N 74.3W...INLAND FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 43.6N 73.4W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 47.5N 71.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 51.1N 68.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.0N 74.2W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 11/0600Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Tropical Depression Fay Forecast Discussion Number 7
Issued at 1100 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020 000 WTNT41 KNHC 110234 TCDAT1 Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062020 1100 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020 Satellite and radar data indicate that Fay is no longer generating organized deep convection as the center moves into northern New Jersey. A combination of radar, aircraft, buoy, and ship data show that 30-35 kt winds are occurring over the water south of central and western long Island, and based on this the initial intensity is reduced to 35 kt. The central pressure of 1001 mb is based on surface observations. Barring the return of convection, Fay should continue to weaken and become post-tropical on Saturday. After that, the system is expected to dissipate on Sunday as it merges with a frontal system over southeastern Canada. The new intensity forecast has only minor tweaks from the previous forecast. The initial motion is now northward or 005 degrees at 15 kt. The track forecast philosophy is unchanged, as Fay will be steered generally northward and north-northeastward until dissipation between a mid-level ridge over the western Atlantic and an approaching shortwave trough moving across the Great Lakes. The storm is moving a little to the left of the previous forecast, so the new forecast is nudged to the left due mainly to the initial position and motion. The new forecast lies close to the consensus models. Users should not place too much emphasis on the exact track of the center of Fay, as the heaviest rain and strongest winds are now occurring well away from the center. Key Messages: 1. Heavy rainfall from eastern Pennsylvania, northeast New Jersey and across southeast New York, into portions of New England may result in flash flooding and urban flooding in areas with poor drainage. Isolated minor flooding is possible; however, widespread river flooding is not expected. 2. Tropical storm conditions are expected for several more hours over portions of coastal New York and Connecticut, including most of Long Island. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/0300Z 41.0N 74.2W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 12H 11/1200Z 43.6N 73.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 24H 12/0000Z 47.5N 71.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 36H 12/1200Z 51.1N 68.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 48H 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
Tropical Depression Fay Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT JUL 11 2020
000
FONT11 KNHC 110234
PWSAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062020
0300 UTC SAT JUL 11 2020
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
41.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
AUGUSTA ME 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PORTLAND ME 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CONCORD NH 34 16 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
PORTSMOUTH NH 34 6 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
WORCESTER MA 34 21 X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
SPRINGFIELD MA 34 35 X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
BOSTON MA 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BRIDGEPORT CT 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEW HAVEN CT 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
HARTFORD CT 34 42 X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
NEW LONDON CT 34 28 X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
ALBANY NY 34 19 X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
POUGHKEEPSIE 34 33 X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33)
MONTAUK POINT 34 16 X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
ISLIP NY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34 25 X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
NYC CNTRL PARK 34 12 X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
NEWARK NJ 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NWS EARLE NJ 34 9 X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Tropical Depression Fay Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 11 Jul 2020 05:32:51 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 11 Jul 2020 03:24:54 GMT
Local Statement for Philadelphia, PA
Issued at 1113 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2020
Local Statement for New York City, NY
Issued at 200 AM EDT Sat Jul 11 2020
Eastern Pacific
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 110533 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Fri Jul 10 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Cristina, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A tropical wave located near the Gulf of Tehuantepec is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be generally favorable for the development of a tropical depression in a few days while the system moves quickly westward well south of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Summary for Tropical Storm Cristina (EP5/EP052020)
...CRISTINA HOLDING ON OVER COOLER WATERS... As of 5:00 PM HST Fri Jul 10 the center of Cristina was located near 20.1, -116.8 with movement W at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 993 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 70 mph.
Tropical Storm Cristina Public Advisory Number 18
Issued at 500 PM HST Fri Jul 10 2020 682 WTPZ35 KNHC 110316 TCPEP5 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Cristina Advisory Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052020 500 PM HST Fri Jul 10 2020 ...CRISTINA HOLDING ON OVER COOLER WATERS... SUMMARY OF 500 PM HST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.1N 116.8W ABOUT 485 MI...780 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 279 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM HST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristina was located near latitude 20.1 North, longitude 116.8 West. Cristina is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h). A westward to west-northwestward motion at a similar forward speed is expected into early next week. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast to begin over the weekend and Cristina is forecast to become a post-tropical remnant low early next week. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb (29.33 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM HST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tropical Storm Cristina Forecast Advisory Number 18
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT JUL 11 2020 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 110315 TCMEP5 TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052020 0300 UTC SAT JUL 11 2020 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 116.8W AT 11/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 279 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 993 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT.......100NE 80SE 50SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 75SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 116.8W AT 11/0300Z AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 116.1W FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 20.5N 118.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 21.0N 121.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 21.3N 124.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 21.7N 126.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 22.0N 128.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 10SE 10SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 22.6N 131.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 23.5N 136.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 24.0N 141.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 116.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY
Tropical Storm Cristina Forecast Discussion Number 18
Issued at 500 PM HST Fri Jul 10 2020 683 WTPZ45 KNHC 110316 TCDEP5 Tropical Storm Cristina Discussion Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP052020 500 PM HST Fri Jul 10 2020 Cristina's appearance suggests that the system has gotten better organized over relatively cold waters than it ever did over warmer waters to the south. The cyclone has a banding eye-like feature, and cold cloud tops associated with deep convection have recently come close to wrapping all the way around the cyclone's center. Although subjective Dvorak intensity estimates at 00Z could justify calling Cristina a hurricane, the most recent UW-CIMSS SATCON is 55 kt, and ASCAT data valid around 18Z had max winds of only 45 kt. The initial intensity is therefore held at 60 kt as a compromise of the various estimates. Cristina is forecast to be over 24 deg C waters in about 12 h and it would be surprising if it strengthened overnight. That said, given its current satellite appearance and otherwise favorable surrounding environment, I can not rule out the possibility that Cristina could briefly become a hurricane during the next few hours. In general, the NHC intensity forecast has not been substantially changed, and Cristina is forecast to gradually weaken for the next few days. Various dynamical models indicate that the tropical storm will maintain some deep convection for another couple days, and then become a post-tropical remnant low early next week. The tropical storm is forecast to continue moving steadily westward to west-northwestward for the next two to three days, steered by a mid-level ridge extending across most of the eastern North Pacific. After that time, the shallow remnant low should continue generally westward, steered by low-level easterly flow. The models are in fairly good agreement, and the NHC track forecast is on top of the multi-model consensus near the middle of the guidance envelope. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/0300Z 20.1N 116.8W 60 KT 70 MPH 12H 11/1200Z 20.5N 118.9W 60 KT 70 MPH 24H 12/0000Z 21.0N 121.4W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 12/1200Z 21.3N 124.0W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 13/0000Z 21.7N 126.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 60H 13/1200Z 22.0N 128.8W 35 KT 40 MPH 72H 14/0000Z 22.6N 131.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 15/0000Z 23.5N 136.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 16/0000Z 24.0N 141.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
Tropical Storm Cristina Wind Speed Probabilities Number 18
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT JUL 11 2020
705
FOPZ15 KNHC 110316
PWSEP5
TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052020
0300 UTC SAT JUL 11 2020
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
20N 115W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
20N 120W 34 40 31(71) 1(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
20N 120W 50 1 12(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
20N 120W 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
25N 120W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
20N 125W 34 X 2( 2) 11(13) 9(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23)
20N 125W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
25N 125W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
20N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
25N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
25N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
25N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
Tropical Storm Cristina Graphics
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 11 Jul 2020 03:17:52 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 11 Jul 2020 03:17:52 GMT