Hazardous Weather Outlook


   Thunderstorms
 1 Marginal Risk
  
 2 Slight Risk
 3 Enhanced Risk
  
 4 Moderate Risk
 5 High Risk
  
    Tornado Watch
    Thunderstorm Watch

Regional Convective Outlook - Day 1
Regional Convective Outlook - Day 1


Severe Thunderstorm Risk Categories
Understanding Severe Thunderstorm Risk Categories
LEVEL CATEGORY DETAILS SUMMARY
THUNDERSTORMS
No severe* thunderstorms expected

Lightning/flooding threats exist with all thunderstorms
No severe thunderstorms expected
1
MARGINAL (MRGL)
Isolated severe thunderstorms possible

Limited in duration and/or coverage and/or intensity
Isolated severe thunderstorms possible
2
SLIGHT (SLGT)
Scattered severe storms possible

Short-lived and/or not widespread; isolated intense storms possible
Scattered severe storms possible
3
ENHANCED (ENH)
Numerous severe storms possible

More persistent and/or widespread; a few intense storms possible
Numerous severe storms possible
4
MODERATE (MDT)
Widespread severe storms likely

Long-lived, widespread and intense
Widespread severe storms likely
5
HIGH (HIGH)
Widespread severe storms expected

Long-lived, very widespread and particularly intense
Widespread severe storms expected
*All thunderstorm categories imply lightning and the potential for flooding. Categories are used to describe the probability of a severe weather event within 25 miles of your location.